No, please don’t split the vote against FPTP. That’s how you get more FPTP.
Just this guy, you know?
No, please don’t split the vote against FPTP. That’s how you get more FPTP.
Probability is useful because it can make predictions that can be tested against reality.
Yes. But you’d have to run the test repeatedly and see if the outcome, i.e. Clinton winning, happens as often as the model predicts.
But we only get to run an election once. And there is no guarantee that the most likely outcome will happen on the first try.
That’s not exactly what happened. Starlink was already disabled in Crimea when the attack was launched and Musk refused to enable it specifically for the attack. Then the initial reports got a bit tangled up.
But yes, none of this should be up to Musk.
There is an alternative to getting older but you wouldn’t like it.
As she should.
That’s just not true. Go to https://ev-database.org/ and compare the dry weight of the different models. You don’t add 66kg going from standard to long range in software.
We have them in Torino in Italy where I now live. There are a lot more than I would have expected.
There is also a dpkg command for that. Grep it for /bin/ and you’ve got your executable.
But don’t get complacent. It’s possible the polls this year are over-correcting for that. We won’t know for sure until the election is over.
Not only that. You may need a quite healthy margin to overcome the various voter suppression and other plans the Rs have in place to steal the election. A Texas sized margin might do.
If I remember this correctly, the square of the error for the sum of (or difference between) two independent measurements is the sum of the squares of the individual errors. Gauss something.
That would make the error for the 8 point swing be sqrt(2×3.8²) or about 5.4. So at least the swing is significant in each state.
Also, the error for the average of 3 variables is sqrt(e1²+e2²+e3²)/3 or 2.2 so the average lead in the 3 states is significant.
But we can’t make a significant claim about the lead in each state.
Ooohhh, that’s even better than my local Thai Food Torino, which is also pretty SEO’d.
(Also quite good if you came here from a search engine. Italian run but kitchen is all Thai except for that one Myanmar Mon lady. We love their Pad Krapow)
The republicans pretend to be smart? IDK?
Frankly eating in all the time was a net positive, I’m in the best shape of my life
Eating out is a lot better for me after I moved to Italy, so there is that. And living in Italy and having to make do with my own cooking would be Very Sad. But yeah, context matters a lot. The Italians took this stuff very seriously the first time around and vaccination rates were really high when I was neaurotically tracking it. I should look up the annual booster rate.
I don’t know where you are, but I’d be less comfortable in an air conditioned eatery in Texas than outside a restaurant in Rome (where I was at the height). And with the current numbers I should probably start avoiding crowds and recirculated air again.
I’m fine with never eating out again.
Yeah, that would be a severe degradation of life for me, so that’s a no-go unless the probabilities shift back to where they were in 2020-22ish.
Posting from a restaurant in Sardinia.
Are you waiting for something to change or will you do this for the rest of your life?
I stopped when we had as much vaccine protection as we were going to get and the virus wasn’t causing quite as severe disease any more. Forever is a long time.
That’s because the “Did Vote Too” vote is split by the two parties. Clearly we need one of them to drop out to defeat the real enemy.
Edit: although the real real enemy is FPTP and the EC which is the root of all this nonsense.
Can confirm.
Source: married to journalist who counts down the hours and triple checks the time zone math to avoid this.
There you go conflating Jews and Israel. Apart from that you have an arguable point.